Welcome to Analysis of Accounts: Decoding the Numbers!
Hello future business experts! Don't worry if financial accounts seem like a maze of numbers. This chapter, Analysis of Accounts, is like learning to read a secret code. You already know how to prepare the Income Statement and Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet), but now we learn how to truly understand what those documents are telling us about the business's health.
Why is this important? Managers, owners, banks, and suppliers all use this analysis to make vital decisions. By the end of these notes, you’ll be able to calculate and interpret the crucial ratios that determine if a business is successful, safe, and sustainable!
Quick Review: The Two Main Financial Documents
- Income Statement (Profit & Loss): Shows the firm's PROFITABILITY over a period (usually one year).
- Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet): Shows the firm's WEALTH (Assets and Liabilities) at a specific point in time.
Section 1: The Purpose of Analysis and Stakeholder Needs
Analysing accounts means using ratio analysis. Ratios allow us to compare two figures from the accounts to get a meaningful percentage or proportion. They turn raw numbers into actionable information.
Who Cares About Account Analysis? (Stakeholders)
Different groups (stakeholders) look at the accounts for different reasons:
Owners and Shareholders
They want to know: "How profitable is the business?"
They focus primarily on profitability ratios to judge if their investment is earning a good return. They also check liquidity to ensure the business won't suddenly collapse.
Banks and Lenders
They want to know: "Will the business pay back its loans?"
They focus heavily on liquidity ratios and the overall debt level to assess risk before approving loans or overdrafts.
Suppliers (Trade Payables)
They want to know: "Will the business pay us for the goods we sold them on credit?"
Like lenders, they are interested in liquidity and the ability of the firm to cover its short-term debts.
Employees and Managers
They want to know: "Is the business secure enough for my job to be safe? Can I expect a bonus or pay rise?"
They look at profitability for future prospects and liquidity for survival.
Section 2: Assessing Profitability
Profitability ratios measure how effectively a business converts sales into profit. The higher these ratios, the better!
1. Gross Profit Margin (GPM)
The GPM tells us what percentage of revenue is left after paying for the goods or services sold (Cost of Goods Sold). It is a measure of how efficiently the firm manages its purchases and pricing.
The Formula:
\[GPM = \frac{\text{Gross Profit}}{\text{Revenue}} \times 100\%\]
Interpretation:
- If GPM is 40%, it means that for every \(\$1\) of sales, \(\$0.40\) is Gross Profit.
- High GPM is usually good! It means the business has a strong markup (selling price is much higher than cost price).
- Low GPM could indicate that the business is charging low prices (maybe due to strong competition) or that the cost of supplies has increased rapidly.
2. Profit Margin (Net Profit Margin - NPM)
The NPM tells us what percentage of revenue is left after all expenses (running costs, overheads, etc.) have been deducted. It is the ultimate measure of overall efficiency.
The Formula:
Note: In IGCSE 0450, 'Profit for the year' usually refers to Net Profit before tax, or sometimes Operating Profit, depending on context. For calculation purposes, use the final profit figure available after all expenses (except tax/interest, which might not be needed for basic ratio).
\[NPM = \frac{\text{Profit for the year}}{\text{Revenue}} \times 100\%\]
Interpretation:
- If NPM is 15%, it means that for every \(\$1\) of sales, \(\$0.15\) is Net Profit (actual money the business keeps).
- Comparing GPM and NPM: If the GPM is high but the NPM is low, this means the firm is spending too much on its operating expenses (rent, wages, advertising). Management needs to cut costs!
- If both GPM and NPM are increasing, the business is very healthy.
GPM (Gross) measures efficiency in pricing and purchasing.
NPM (Net) measures efficiency in managing all costs and overheads.
Section 3: Assessing Liquidity (Short-Term Survival)
Liquidity measures the ability of a business to pay its short-term debts (liabilities) as they fall due. A business can be profitable but still fail if it cannot pay its immediate bills! This is known as the "cash flow crisis."
To calculate liquidity, we use figures from the Statement of Financial Position.
1. The Current Ratio
The Current Ratio compares all Current Assets (things the business owns that turn into cash within one year, like inventory and cash) with Current Liabilities (money the business owes within one year, like overdrafts and trade payables).
The Formula:
\[Current Ratio = \frac{\text{Current Assets}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}\]
The result is expressed as a ratio, e.g., 2:1.
Interpretation:
- The Ideal Range: Most analysts agree that a Current Ratio between 1.5:1 and 2:1 is healthy.
- 2:1: Means the business has \(\$2\) of current assets for every \(\$1\) of current liabilities. This is safe.
- 1:1 or less: This is dangerous! The business might not have enough cash or easy-to-sell assets to cover its immediate debts. Lenders will be very worried.
- Too High (e.g., 4:1): Although safe, it suggests the business is holding too much non-productive cash or inventory that could be better invested elsewhere. This shows poor efficiency.
2. The Acid Test Ratio (Quick Ratio)
The Acid Test Ratio is a stricter test of liquidity. It ignores Inventory (stock) because inventory can sometimes be difficult or slow to sell, especially if the business is in trouble. It tests the true "instant" ability to pay debts.
The Formula:
\[Acid Test Ratio = \frac{\text{Current Assets} - \text{Inventory}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}\]
Interpretation:
- The Ideal Ratio: Usually considered to be 1:1 or slightly higher.
- 1:1: Means the business has exactly enough highly liquid assets (cash and debtors) to pay off its immediate liabilities.
- 0.8:1: Means the business can only cover 80% of its immediate debts without relying on selling its existing stock. This is a warning sign.
Profitability Ratios (GPM, NPM) must be expressed as a %.
Liquidity Ratios (Current, Acid Test) must be expressed as a ratio (e.g., 2:1 or 1.5:1).
Section 4: Analysing and Evaluating Ratio Results
Calculating ratios is only the first step. The real skill is in the analysis and evaluation—understanding what the numbers mean and recommending actions.
A. How to Interpret Ratios Effectively
A single ratio number on its own means very little. You must always compare it against other data:
1. Comparison Over Time (Trend Analysis)
- Compare this year's ratio with last year's ratio, and maybe the year before.
- Example: If the NPM has dropped from 10% to 5% over three years, this is a clear negative trend, suggesting costs are increasing faster than revenue.
2. Comparison Against Competitors (Benchmarking)
- Compare the firm's ratio with that of similar businesses in the same industry.
- Example: If a firm's GPM is 30% but all competitors average 45%, the firm needs to investigate its purchasing or pricing strategy immediately.
3. Comparison Against Industry Norms (Ideal Ratios)
- Compare the ratio against the generally accepted "ideal" or average for the industry (like the 2:1 for Current Ratio).
B. Limitations of Using Accounts and Ratios
Ratios are powerful, but they are not the whole story. You must recognise what they don't tell you.
- Inflation Effects: Ratios don't adjust for inflation. If the NPM increased from 10% to 12%, but inflation was 5%, the real increase in profitability might be smaller or non-existent.
- External Factors: Ratios only show internal results. They don't explain why performance changed (e.g., a recession, a new government tax, or a major competitor entering the market).
- Non-Financial Information: Ratios ignore crucial qualitative data, such as:
- The quality of management.
- Customer satisfaction and reputation.
- New product development and future potential.
- Different Accounting Methods: Businesses sometimes use slightly different ways to value assets or inventory, making direct comparison (benchmarking) difficult.
Always state whether a ratio is improving or worsening, and then suggest a course of action. For example: "The Current Ratio of 0.9:1 is too low. The business must improve liquidity by delaying payments to suppliers or increasing cash sales."
Congratulations! You now know how to look beyond the basic numbers and understand the true financial health of any business. This is a critical skill for any IGCSE business student!